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Warming trend through Saturday...colder thereafter

Onshore winds will bring warming and moistening weather through Saturday. It'll become quite mild tomorrow and its going to feel pretty warm on Saturday before the cold fron blasts through.


There remains some uncertainty with the timing of the cold front, but it currently looks to blast through the Houston area mid to late afternoon and move across Acadiana Saturday evening/night. The forecast models have trended drier with the front the last few days so although most areas will see some shower and thunderstorm activity, it shouldn't be very prolonged. This is especially true around Houston with higher coverage and chances to the east over Acadiana. A few strong thunderstorms will be possible, but I'm not expecting a big severe event as there will be a lack of deep moisture and the orientation of the upper trough of low pressure doesn't lend itself to an elevated severe threat. Regardless though, a few strong storms could pop and lead to some localized impacts (strong winds, frequent lightning, hail...maybe even a tornado). Rainfall totals will generally average below 1/2", but heavier showers and storms could drop 1/2 - 1" of rain in some areas. The drought will continue to weaken, but most of Acadiana will remain in "drought" conditions after this system.


Behind the front, look for very gusty northwest winds on Sunday with much colder air moving in. Depending on how winds settle and the high cloudiness, some areas could see freezing temperatures over the northern half of Acadiana on Monday morning. Much of the Houston areas could dip into the 30s, but a freeze is not likely at this point.


Much of next week looks chilly but there will likely be a warming trend by weeks end with another system rolling through as the active weather pattern continues.


God Bless!

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